2 Possible storms

Atlantic/Carrib is getting very active. 2 items to keep an eye on.



I will be gone this weekend, so keep track what is going on folks and make proper preps.



ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI JUN 25 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED BETWEEN THE NORTHEAST COAST OF HONDURAS
AND GRAND CAYMAN CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. SHOWER
ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONCENTRATED THIS MORNING...AND
SURFACE PRESSURES ARE FALLING. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY
BECOMING MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY
TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE IT REACHES THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THIS DISTURBANCE LATER TODAY TO DETERMINE IF A TROPICAL
CYCLONE HAS FORMED.

2. A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS CENTERED
JUST EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. THIS ACTIVITY
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS
NNNN



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Financial Advisors recommending getting out of the markets. UPDATE

UPDATE:
BMO Capital Markets is now telling it's investors to get completely out of equities (stocks) and go to cash.
Several Investing advisers and one investing house is basically screaming the markets are about to go under....depression style.

The global credit environment is worsening. Cost of capital is going up and availability is going down. There are large gaps between where the credit market prices risk and where the equity market is priced. Equity is lagging the deterioration in credit conditions. Moves in currency, equity and commodity markets are mirroring the moves in the credit market. Global growth, in a credit-constrained environment, will slow. Profits will be squeezed by the higher cost of capital...We advocate a zero weight toward equity, and that investors convert their equity positions to cash."

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/bmo-has-simple-message-its-clients-go-cash-now

Anthony Fry of Evercore Partners and Bob Janjuah of RBS are in get out of dodge.

Fry.."“I don’t want to scare anyone but I am considering investing in barbed wire and guns, things are not looking good and rates are heading higher,” he said."
"The comments mirror those of bearish Bob Janjuah from RBS, who told CNBC on Friday that we are facing big stock market losses and told investors to get into gold before G20 governments attempt to throw another $15 trillion in quantitative easing in a bid to jump start the economy.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/37549417



Though probably not the most cohesive suggestion on how to prepare...it shows that economic collapse is looking like a real possibility to investment advisers and they are worried.



In other news in Spain..strikes and protests begin.



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Hurricane Season is Here!

Ok folks Hurricane season is here and the remnants of TS Agatha (from the Pacific) has decided to come our way. Begin your preps now it could be a long season according to the National Hurricane Center




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Gold and Silver buying Panic in Europe.

A $1 Trillion bailout of Europe is in place and has begun, but for some reason Europeans aren't too confident in it. They are panic buying Gold and Silver for security believing that measures will fail. Basically they are anticipating a collapse of the EU economy.

Earlier we noted that the Austrian mint was on its way to depleting its gold reserves following "panicked buying" from Europeans, who now openly fear the demise of their currency. Now, courtesy of Slim Beleggen, we understand that the situation in the silver market is just as bad and has also spilled over to Germany: the contagion is no longer one of sovereign debt, but of precious metal physical inventory. The primarily silver focused (but holding gold as well) Kronwitter precious metal online retailer is not only not accepting any orders, but has entirely taken down its website.

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We just went mainstream...

After yesterday's plunge even big economic websites are going survivalist..

Today, millions of Americans say that they believe that the United States is on the verge of a major economic collapse and will soon be entering another Great Depression. But only a small percentage of those same people are prepared for that to happen. The sad truth is that the vast majority of Americans would last little more than a month on what they have stored up in their homes.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/20-things-you-will-need-to-survive-when-the-economy-collapses-and-the-next-great-depression-begins-2010-5#ixzz0nG5hBfGE

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Financial dive...

Well in case you were in a bubble today or bunker....the stock market briefly dove some 900 points before recovering and closing a mere 300 points down. The cause is actually under investigation.

Was it the bankers sending a message to congress not to break up the banks?
Was it a trader pressing the wrong button?
Fear over the Greek financial situation and possibly all of Europe?
Possible cyber attack?
....or have people started to realize debt based currency and life style might be a bad idea?

Regardless, it shows just when everything seems to be heading in the right direction something can trigger a reversal. Hurricane season starts next month...lets start getting ready now.

Water supply week is next week (yes I made that up)...let's get started. I'll post some articles about getting that aspect covered.

Scouts Out!
-T


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Pending Oil disaster...

Being in Florida, everyone is aware of the approaching oil slick to our coastline. The location of where and time line of when is purely up to mother nature at this point. A professor at the University of Florida is worried about the east coast of Florida more than the west.

Media reports said Y. Peter Sheng, coastal and oceanographic engineer at UF, believes the six-day ocean current models released by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reveal that the slick "could get caught in what's called the 'Loop Current' 35 miles south of the slick, which flows through the Florida Straits and becomes the Gulf Stream."
According to Sheng, Florida's west coast from Big Bend to Cedar Key could be spared while eastern coastal beaches are threatened.

Obvious impact to fisheries is already being felt in some gulf coast areas as fishing has been shut down and local seafood has ceased coming in. At a minimum the result to Floridians could be the same...possibly for an extended period. The economic cost could be staggering. The Gulf economy is ~ $2.2 Trillion. 83% of all US shrimp come from the gulf...56% of all oysters. Tourism is of course a huge aspect...

The impact to Florida and Floridians is as of yet unknown. Job losses? Increase costs (seafood is a given), increase in other prices are possible if shipping lanes are diverted or cut off. Frankly. folks..this is one crisis I hadn't planned for....and I need to ponder the possibilities more.

On a side note the financial markets are reacting badly to the debt crisis in Europe...I surprised no one has realized how bad it is here...



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Beware of March...economy.

A really fantastic article is up on one of my favorite blogger sites. Jesse's Cafe Americain always has great economic articles. Sometime a bit technical, but well worth the read.

Pictures of a Market Crash: Beware the Ides of March, And What Follows After
There are a fair number of private and public forecasters with whom I speak that anticipate a significant market decline in March. As you know I tend to agree, but with the important caveat that we are in a very different monetary landscape than the last time the Fed engaged in quantitative easing, the early 1930's. The biggest difference is the lack of 'external standards.'

He paints a not so pretty picture for the very near future.

The overseas (European situation) is about to get really ugly.

LEAP/E2020 is of the view that the effect of States’ spending trillions to « counteract the crisis » will have fizzled out. These vast sums had the effect of slowing down the development of the systemic global crisis for several months but, as anticipated in previous GEAB reports, this strategy will only have ultimately served to clearly drag States into the crisis caused by the financial institutions.

Therefore our team anticipates, in this 42nd issue of the GEAB, a sudden intensification of the crisis in the second half of 2010, caused by a double effect of a catching up of events which were temporarily « frozen » in the second half of 2009 and the impossibility of maintaining the palliative remedies of past years.

Weekly news sum up.

I was thinking perhaps a sum up of events for the week that caught my eye. Unfortunately there are many and none of them positive.

-So far tonight 2 banks and 2 Credit Unions were shut down.

-US GDP was revised up, but the move was all due to inventory reshuffling..sales actually declined.

A closer look at the economy’s 5.9% growth rate in Q4 reveals that two temporary factors, inventories and stimulus, accounted for at least 80% — perhaps over 100% — of that growth.

-Unemployment continued to rise, though the not seasonally adjusted weekly declined...long term is still nasty.
-New and prior owned home sales declined again.

Urban meltdown as Detroit Mayor wants to move residents to consolidate the population and shut down sections of the city.

From Business Insider: The Radar: 10 Brewing Stories You Must Start Paying Attention To

1.Failed Turkey Coup Re-Ignites Doubts Over European Union Membership
2.Falklands Flare Up Has UK And Argentina Back In Conflict
3.Austrian Banks (in trouble)
4.A New War In Kurdistan?
5.John McCain's primary campaign for the soul of the Republican party.
6.China Continues To Tighten As World's Dominant Economic Power Dictates Play
7.Shipping Set To Return To High Amounts Due To Belief In Sustained Global Rebound
8.Health Care Takes Center Stage Again As Obama Continues To Draw Down On Waning Political Capital
9.British Pound Under Threat As New Doubts Emerge Over Country's Ability To Counter Debt
10.Greece Continues To Teeter On The Brink As Bailout Fails To Materialize
Bonus: The Bloom Box (This....if true...will end US dependence on foreign energy...and probably topple a few energy companies).

Winter walk....signs of food #1

I was out on a little walk today, and thought OK let's do a little prepper thinking. What if....I needed to find food, start a fire etc. It's winter time and things are looking a bit bleak where I am hiking, what food is available quickly? I immediately went to my favorite place, the fallen tree.
With my trusty, always on me leatherman, I popped open the bark to find.


Food! Termites...though a bit intensive to collect, they are nutritious with high levels of protein and fat (badly needed in cold weather).

I decided to think a bit bigger. Looking on the ground I was surrounded with pine cones...ooo pine nuts!



Unfortunately these pine nuts had been on the ground a bit too long and had turned to mush. So I moved on and spotted a good sign.



The game trail was well used with some fresh sign from the night before by a raccoon.




The great thing about racoons, especially in Florida, is they are excellent scavangers. Find where a racoon has gone to eat and you can find some good eats (crabs, mussels, etc.). Raccoons themselves are also very good eating though they run a risk of carrying diseases (true of most wild animals).

Then I found the big sign..




Wild boar tracks which lead to a large wallow area. This gave me the indication of a good size group of wild pigs in the area. Setting up a dead fall or careful hunting position could produce a large amount of food in short order. So next time you are out on a walk...look around and see what food is available. Don't worry salad fans, I'll get to plants next.....